- October 28th, 2017
- Mursid Raharjo (PhD Candidate of Environmental Doctoral Program, Gadjah Mada University)
Abstrack:
Purworejo’s landscape was composed the coastal and hilly regions, endemic malaria diseases, influences of global climate change. The Annual Parasite Incidence (API) fluctuated of 5 years later, at range 0,45-0,57, increased to 1,12 on 2011th. Suitability of habitat conditions determines a species distribution in space and time. Understanding and modeling the influences of breeding and resting quality and mosquito vector can, therefore, be a powerful predictor of the risk of exposure to the pathogens they transmit. Breeding and resting mosquito were sampled 34 villages covering settings available. Classified Random Sampling was designed base on topographic with 100m intervals. The influences of 11 parameters of breeding and resting place, 7 of social economic variable and topographic variables on mosquito densities was assessed by multivariate correlation. The Observation going on 4 period, wet season, intermediate, dry season and intermediate. Using Mathematic models to evaluated the breeding place and resting variable as potential risk to mosquito abundant, declared as MVI. Nine species were fond : An.balabaensis; An.aconitus; An.barbirostris; An.vagus; An.anullaris; An.kochi; An.maculatus; An.indifinitus; An.subpictus, distributed at 82.35% of the total village, more species number collected than the research before. The highest vector density was 3.40 sp/man/hour (intermediate season), and the highest vector density 3.96 sp/man/hour (dry season). The environmental factors have significant related to vector densities were pH, total suspended solid, salinity, dissolved oxygen, chloride, temperature, humidity. The mathematics modeling, MVI = IPH + I PE + I AC + IS The impact of the global climate change on dynamics malaria vector, increased from 5 to 9 species. Malaria Vulnerability Index (MVI) shows that there are a total of 14 regions (41%) with a no-risk category (NR) and 4 (12%) with a very low risk (VLR). Areas with very high risk (HR) cover 8 areas (23%), intermediate risk (MR) as much as 3 areas (9%) and low risk (LR) by 5 regions (15%). MVI change throughout the seasons. read more